Macrobond updates

Bi-Weekly data additions

Bi-Weekly additions: 26 September – 07 October 2022

By 
Arnaud Lieugaut
 on 
October 10, 2022

Highlights

              

Euro Area

We’ve recently added a new survey from the ECB covering consumer expectations. Various segments are examined, including: 

  • Housing & Credit Access
  • Income & Consumption
  • Inflation
  • Labor & Economic Growth

Each category is then broken down by age group, country, and income quintile. In the chart below, we focus on the inflation survey across the main euro area countries, displaying perceptions of price increases over the past 12 months and expectations for inflation over the next 12 months. 

Italy is an outlier: inflation perceptions were the highest of any country, even as statistically reported inflation was among the lowest. Italians also expect inflation to surge over the next 12 months. Spanish consumers also stand out for perceiving inflation that strongly exceeds the statistical inflation rate. 

Macrobond users, access the chart here

Consumer Expectations  
Country & Region > Euro Area [eu, Region] > Euro Area [eu, Region] > Surveys & Leading Indicators [surv, Category] > Consumer Surveys > ECB > Consumer Expectations

Australia

Alternative datasets are increasingly of interest to macroeconomic forecasters. Advertised job vacancies, for instance, are viewed as an informative labour market indicator. For Australia, we’ve added the Internet Vacancy Index (IVI), which tracks online job advertisements on a monthly basis and can be broken down by state and job type.

In the chart below, we compare IVI to the unemployment rate. For comparison purposes, the Y-axis of the unemployment rate is inverted: a strong negative correlation exists between both series. It also appears that the IVI index tends to move three months ahead of the unemployment rate – making it a valuable forecasting variable and leading indicator.

Macrobond users, access the chart here

Household Expenditure on Credit Cards

Country & Region > South Korea [kr, Region] > Income & Earnings [inea, Category] > Household Income & Expenditure > Household Expenditure on Credit Cards

Panama

National accounts for Panama have been extended with the addition of the expenditure approach category, in constant and current prices. 

This now allows users to calculate contributions to GDP, as the chart below highlights. 

Macrobond users, access the chart here

GDP Expenditure Approach

Country & Region > Panama [pa, Region] > National Accounts [naac, Category] > Gross Domestic Product > Expenditure Approach

Dominican Republic

For the Dominican Republic, we’ve added macroeconomic expectations from the central bank. Forecasts for indicators such as exchange rate, GDP, policy rate and inflation are now available, and updated every month. 

In the chart below, we track the current inflation rate and the central bank’s future expectations. 

Macrobond users, access the chart here

Export/Import Price Index by Broad Economic Categories

Country & Region > China [cn, Region] > Prices [pric, Category] > Import/Export Prices > Prices by BEC

Complete list

Bahamas

Monthly Fiscal Performance

Country & Region > Bahamas [bs, Region] > Government & Public Finance [gpfi, Category] > Government Budget

Dominican Republic

Macroeconomic Expectations  
Country & Region > Dominican Republic [do, Region] > Surveys & Leading Indicators [surv, Category] > Economic Surveys > Central Bank of Dominican Republic > Macroeconomic Expectations Survey

Euro Area

Consumer Expectations  
Country & Region > Euro Area [eu, Region] > Euro Area [eu, Region] > Surveys & Leading Indicators [surv, Category] > Consumer Surveys > ECB > Consumer Expectations

Ethiopia

Balance of Payments  

Country & Region > Ethiopia [et, Region] > Balance of Payments [bopa, Category]

Foreign Trade
Country & Region > Ethiopia [et, Region] > Trade [trad, Category] > Foreign Trade

Foreign Debt

Country & Region > Ethiopia [et, Region] > Foreign Finance [fofi, Category] > Foreign Debt

Public Debt

Country & Region > Ethiopia [et, Region] > Government & Public Finance [gpfi, Category] > Public Debt > Total

India

Bank Lending Survey

Country & Region > India [in, Region] > Surveys & Leading Indicators [surv, Category] > Lending Surveys  

Distribution of Outstanding Advances of Scheduled Commercial Banks to Priority Sector

Country & Region > India [in, Region] > Money, Banking & Credit [bank, Category] > Balance Sheet & Flows of MFI Sector > Commercial Banks > Distribution Of Outstanding Advances Of Scheduled Commercial Banks To Priority Sector  

Earnings and Expenses of Scheduled Commercial Banks

Country & Region > India [in, Region] > Money, Banking & Credit [bank, Category] > Balance Sheet & Flows of MFI Sector > Commercial Banks > Earnings & Expenses Of Scheduled Commercial Banks  

Services & Infrastructure Outlook Survey

Country & Region > India [in, Region] > Surveys & Leading Indicators [surv, Category] > Business Surveys > Reserve Bank of India > Services & Infrastructure Outlook Survey

 

Norway  

Employment, by Immigration Category & Country Background, Monthly

Number of Employments:

Country & Region > Norway [no, Region] > Labor Market [lama, Category] > Employment > Employed Persons > By Immigration Category > Country Background > Monthly

Number of Employees:

Country & Region > Norway [no, Region] > Labor Market [lama, Category] > Employment > Wage-Earners > By Immigration Category > Country Background > Monthly

Panama

GDP Expenditure Approach

Country & Region > Panama [pa, Region] > National Accounts [naac, Category] > Gross Domestic Product > Expenditure Approach

National Bank of Panama Balance Sheet

Country & Region > Panama [pa, Region] > Money, Banking & Credit [bank, Category] > Balance Sheet & Flows of MFI Sector > Commercial Banks

Paraguay

Balance of Payments - Services

Country & Region > Paraguay [py, Region] > Balance of Payments [bopa, Category] > Current Account > Services

Source & Release > Paraguay [py, Region] > Central Bank of Paraguay > Balance of Payments [rel_pybankbopa, Release]

United States

New ADP Total Nonfarm Private Payroll Employment

Country & Region > United States [us, Region] > Labor Market [lama, Category] > Employment > ADP National Employment Report > Nonfarm Private Payroll Employment

Source & Release > United States [us, Region] > Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis > Total Nonfarm Private Payroll Employment [rel_uspayremp, Release]

New York Fed SCE Housing Survey

Source & Release > United States [us, Region] > Federal Reserve Bank of New York > New York Fed SCE Housing Survey [rel_usfbrnyscehs, Release]

Country & Region > United States [us, Region] > Surveys & Leading Indicators [surv, Category] > Consumer Surveys > Federal Reserve Bank of New York > SCE Housing Survey

House Forecast

Source & Release > United States [us, Region] > FiveThirtyEight > House Forecast [rel_usftepolihf, Release]

Country & Region > United States [us, Region] > ESG [esgc, Category] > Socio-Political > Political Polls > FiveThirtyEight > House Forecast

Deposit Rates – coverage expansion

Country & Region > United States [us, Region] > Money, Banking & Credit [bank, Category] > FDIC Insured Institutions > All Institutions > Deposit Rates > National Deposit Rates

Country & Region > United States [us, Region] > ⏲ High Frequency Indicators [alt_hfi, AlternativeCategory] > Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation [src_usfdic, Source] > FDIC National Rates & Rate Caps [rel_usfdicnrarc, Release]

Source & Release > United States [us, Region] > Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation > FDIC National Rates & Rate Caps [rel_usfdicnrarc, Release]

Fixed Income Indices

Country & Region > United States [us, Region] > Interest & Exchange Rates [rate, Category] > Fixed Income Indices > Cliffwater LLC

Source & Release > United States [us, Region] > Cliffwater LLC > Cliffwater Direct Lending Index [rel_uscwdll, Release]