Poll data for the UK and Italy
The general election in the UK is coming up in less than a month, on the 8th of June 2017. If voting follows the polled intentions, the Conservative party is facing a potential landslide victory. This would substantially increase the slim majority of 17 they currently hold, an important development for May and her party leading up to their negotiation of the UK’s exit from the EU.
Given the growing popularity of the Italian populist party, the Five Star Movement, it is all but clear what will happen in the upcoming general election in Italy. Unlike the UK polls, there is no consistent or overwhelming front runner. The general election is scheduled to take place in June 2018, but both parties have urged that it be held earlier, pending the reform of an electoral law, requested by the president.
Centa City Residential Price Index
In the chart below we’ve demonstrated how to create an early warning indicator, inspired by BIS methodology, using Residential Price Index data from Centa City, and an HP filter. In the bottom pane you can see the leading index as well as its HP filter. In the top pane the HP filter (the trend component) has been subtracted from the index, showing only the cyclical component of the series. A simple formula was then applied to highlight the periods when the value exceeds the mean by one standard deviation. Click on the chart to open it in the application, if you’d like to have a look at how we set it up.
Taiwan enterprise bankruptcy data
In this chart we’re taking a look at the recently added bankruptcy data for Taiwan, which we’ve lagged by 5 months, effectively pushing it forward in time, and compared it to data on loans given to private enterprises.
Vehicle registration data
In the last two weeks we’ve added vehicle registration data for a few emerging markets. In the chart below we take a look at registration of tour taxis in Bangkok, relative to tourism data.
Data Additions by country/region
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Get the news delivered to your inbox
If you like keeping up with the what’s new, but you’re more of an email person, then this is for you! Click on the link below to get this bi-weekly overview of the data additions by email.