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The Week Ahead in Charts – Week of July 13th, 2020

This chart pack covers the macroeconomic highlights that we’re looking forward to this week. All of the charts below are published including data as of Friday the 3rd of July. To make sure you always have the latest data included in your favorite chart, click the button below the chart to add it to your own watchlist in Macrobond Live. You can save up to 20 charts for free for as long as you like, and you can switch them out depending on which you find most interesting for the moment.

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A Bet on Europe is a Bet on the World

If you feel our in-house economist has focused a lot on the European economy over the past few weeks, you’re absolutely right. Today, he explains why and concludes his exposé with a sobering view on the outlook for the Euro Area.

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What’s going on in Germany?

Over the past few months, poor German economic developments have become a more frequent issue in financial media. But how bad is it really? – That’s what Roger will be looking into in this semester’s first blog post.

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Global Update: Economic risks rise and markets rally

Today on the blog, Dr. Alex Joiner, chief economist at IFM Investors and esteemed Macrobond user, shares his monthly economic report with us. In short, global trade tensions have been a key focus of global markets, with ongoing risks being interpreted differently by bond and equity markets that both rallied strongly. Faced with subdued inflationary pressures and downside risks to growth, advanced economy central banks have almost unanimously ‘doubled down’ on their dovish tone with markets now pricing in further policy easing.

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Surfing the Stock Market

In this week’s blog, Roger takes a look at the drivers of the Australian stock market. Unsurprisingly, growth has something to do with it, and… – Well you better read on to see what else is important Down Under.

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Colonial Revival

This week, Roger revisits and mass-produces the graph that’s been getting the most attention from a recent post. It’s not one of his own, but Branko Milanovic’s ‘elephant graph’, which Roger now expands to a host of former colonies. Well, imitation is the highest form of flattery.

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At the Intersection of Exogenous and Endogenous Growth

This week, Roger has been quite unbearable at the office, reverting to his old sins of name-dropping a bunch of (wise, old,) dead, white guys almost all the time. It’s Kaldor here and Verdoorn there. The silver lining is that it resulted in quite an interesting discussion about how to respond when the R-word (recession) is communicated by the NBER’s business cycle dating committee. (Btw, shouldn’t every country have one of those?)

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On a Slow Boat to China

The US-China trade negotiations have put the strength of the Chinese economy firmly back in focus. How bad is it? – That’s what Roger tries to find out this week.

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