Your Overview of Data AdditionsPoll data for the UK & Italy, & increased coverage of the Balkans and Southeast Asia
Poll data for the UK and Italy
The general election in the UK is coming up in less than a month, on the 8th of June 2017. If voting follows the polled intentions, the Conservative party is facing a potential landslide victory. This would substantially increase the slim majority of 17 they currently hold, an important development for May and her party leading up to their negotiation of the UK’s exit from the EU.
Given the growing popularity of the Italian populist party, the Five Star Movement, it is all but clear what will happen in the upcoming general election in Italy. Unlike the UK polls, there is no consistent or overwhelming front runner. The general election is scheduled to take place in June 2018, but both parties have urged that it be held earlier, pending the reform of an electoral law, requested by the president.
Centa City Residential Price Index
In the chart below we’ve demonstrated how to create an early warning indicator, inspired by BIS methodology, using Residential Price Index data from Centa City, and an HP filter. In the bottom pane you can see the leading index as well as its HP filter. In the top pane the HP filter (the trend component) has been subtracted from the index, showing only the cyclical component of the series. A simple formula was then applied to highlight the periods when the value exceeds the mean by one standard deviation. Click on the chart to open it in the application, if you’d like to have a look at how we set it up.
Taiwan enterprise bankruptcy data
In this chart we’re taking a look at the recently added bankruptcy data for Taiwan, which we’ve lagged by 5 months, effectively pushing it forward in time, and compared it to data on loans given to private enterprises.
Vehicle registration data
In the last two weeks we’ve added vehicle registration data for a few emerging markets. In the chart below we take a look at registration of tour taxis in Bangkok, relative to tourism data.
Data Additions by country/region
Bosnia & HerzegovinaCPI of Republika Srpska
Foreign Reserves of Central Bank
GeorgiaCentral Government Budget
Central Government Debt
Hong KongCenta-City Leading Index
Labour Productivity Index
Nominal Effective Exchange Rate Index (Period Average)
IrelandClearing Banks Prime Rate
ItalyGeneral Election Polls
LithuaniaInterbank Lending Rate
LuxembourgNew Vehicles Registration (STATEC)
Total Industry Gross Earnings
MauritiusCentral Government Debt
General Government Budget
PhilippinesCompensation Per Employee in Non-Agricultural Industries
RomaniaT-Bill Average Rate
SerbiaBank Gross Lending Activity by Sector
South KoreaTotal New Vehicles Registrations
SpainEmployment, Affiliation to Social Security System Detailed Data
Interbank Rate - 3 Month (Weighted Average)
Long-Term Central Government Bond
Sri LankaCommercial Banks Prime Lending Rate
New Motor Cars Registrations
Number of Housing Approvals
Wholesale Price Index
SwitzerlandPassenger Cars Registrations
Swiss Services PMI (Service Purchasing Managers’ Index)
TaiwanBankruptcies of Companies
Base Lending Rate
Loans by Category
ThailandNew Registered Vehicles in Bangkok
U.K.Britain Political Parties Elects
Trade in Goods Chained Volume Measures by Commodity
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