Your Overview of Data AdditionsBrexit, Trillary & Emerging markets
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One of our core focuses when it comes to deciding which data to add to the database is responding quickly to current events. Leading up to the Brexit vote, leave/remain opinion poll data was made available.
Our latest addition on the theme concerns the uncertainty around the EU, specifically whether membership in the EU is considered a good thing or a bad thing. Have a look at the chart below for a quick overview of the Eurobarometer data from DG COMM. Alternatively, you can click on the link here, or in the list at the end, to navigate straight to the data in the application.
From the other side of the Atlantic, away from Brexit chaos, but no less tumultuous, we bring you U.S. presidential poll data, from RealClearPolitics. This data covers daily opinion poll measurements on Clinton and Trump. For the moment Hillary is still holding on to a small margin, but you never can be too sure about what’s going to happen with Donald in the mix.
Speaking of which… there’s the U.S. recession probability indicator from the NY FED. The data is generated using a model which looks at the difference between 10-year and three-month Treasury rates to calculate the probability of a recession in the U.S. 12 months ahead. Have a look at the chart below, in which recession probability data is compared with ISM manufacturing PMI data.
True to form we have some additions for the emerging markets too. Foreign debt for Turkey, key macro indicators for Myanmar, as well as additions for Paraguay, Panama, and Namibia, to name a few.